BLACKTOWN, NSW

37,146 sales · 36 years of data

Select a metric to explore

Property Cycle Analysis

What This Shows

This analysis tracks how property prices in Blacktown have moved over 35 years compared to the long-term growth trend. It shows whether current prices are above or below where they 'should be' based on historical patterns.

Why It Matters

Every property market goes through cycles of boom and bust. By understanding where Blacktown sits in its cycle, you can make smarter decisions about timing. If prices are well above the trend line, you might be buying at a peak. If they're below, you could be finding value in a trough.

Fair Value
Trend Status
$920,000
Overall Median
$1,128,000
Houses Median
$532,500
Apartments Median
3.5%
10-Year Growth
5.9%
All-Time Growth

Price History

Price History Chart

Trend Deviation Analysis

Overall Market

Overall Market Trends

Strata (Apartments)

Strata Trends

Freestanding (Houses)

Freestanding Trends

Detailed Trend Statistics

Overall Market

Growth Rate
6.58%/yr
Trend Price
$953,677
Actual Price
$920,000
Deviation
-3.5%
Avg Sales/yr
1,032
Sales (2025)
1,010
Volume vs Avg
-2.1%
Volume YoY
-11.7%

Strata (Apartments)

Growth Rate
4.43%/yr
Trend Price
$617,934
Actual Price
$532,500
Deviation
-13.8%
Avg Sales/yr
414
Sales (2025)
467
Volume vs Avg
+12.9%
Volume YoY
-18.8%

Freestanding (Houses)

Growth Rate
7.21%/yr
Trend Price
$1,141,450
Actual Price
$1,128,000
Deviation
-1.2%
Avg Sales/yr
722
Sales (2025)
543
Volume vs Avg
-24.8%
Volume YoY
-4.6%

DATA QUALITY DISCLAIMER: Trend analysis uses exponential regression on median prices which may not capture all market dynamics. Deviation from trend is a statistical measure, not a guarantee of future performance. Low transaction volumes in some years can produce unreliable trend estimates. Property cycles vary in length and magnitude, and past patterns may not repeat.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE: This data is for informational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult qualified professionals before making property decisions.